2025 NFL betting – Season win totals, projections for all 32 groups

Win totals for the upcoming NFL season have been posted at ESPN Wager.

At 11.5 wins, the defending Tremendous Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles are tied with the Buffalo Payments, Baltimore Ravens and Kansas Metropolis Chiefs for the very best quantity on the board.

9 groups have an over/below of 10.5 victories or extra, which might be essentially the most groups with a win whole higher than 10 in a season for the reason that league expanded to 32 groups in 2002. Eight groups had an over/below of 10.5 or increased final season, and 9 groups reached a minimum of 11 wins. Six others reached 10 wins.

On the opposite finish of the spectrum is the Cleveland Browns, who’ve the bottom win whole projection at 4.5. 5 groups have an over/below of 5.5.

Right here is every staff’s projected win whole at ESPN Wager, with related notes from ESPN Stats and Data, some knowledge from SportsOddsHistory.com, in addition to Mike Clay’s forecast from his mannequin. (Clay’s full 2025 season projections might be discovered right here.)

For essentially the most up-to-date odds, go to ESPN BET

Baltimore Ravens (11.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 11.3 (NFL rank: 3)
2024 file: 12-5
Tremendous Bowl winner: +650

• That is Baltimore’s sixth straight season with a win whole in double digits.

• The Ravens have gone over their win whole in back-to-back seasons after going below within the earlier three.

• The Ravens have the third-best odds to win the Tremendous Bowl at +650.

Buffalo Payments (11.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 11.7 (NFL rank: 2)
2024 file: 13-4
Tremendous Bowl winner: 7-1

• The Payments have gained 11+ video games in 5 straight seasons.

• Since Sean McDermott grew to become the Payments’ head coach in 2017, Buffalos has gone over its win whole in all eight seasons, the longest lively streak of any staff.

• Josh Allen has gained 10+ video games in each season as a full-time starter.

Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (11.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 10.4 (NFL rank: T-4)
2024 file: 15-2
Tremendous Bowl winner: 6-1

• That is the seventh consecutive season that Kansas Metropolis has a win whole of a minimum of 10, essentially the most of any staff over that span.

• In 12 seasons below Andy Reid, Kansas Metropolis has gained 10+ video games 11 instances.

• The Chiefs have gained a minimum of 12 video games in six of the seven seasons with Patrick Mahomes because the beginning QB.

Philadelphia Eagles (11.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 10.4 (NFL rank: T-4)
2024 file: 14-3
Tremendous Bowl winner: 6-1

• The Eagles gained 14 regular-season video games to scorching the over on their whole on their strategy to a Tremendous Bowl win.

• Earlier than final season, Philadelphia had gone below the full in seven of its final eight seasons when it had a win whole of 10+.

• The Eagles have 11+ wins in three straight seasons, their longest such stretch since a five-season streak from 2000-04.

Cincinnati Bengals (10.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 8.6 (NFL rank: 17)
2024 file: 9-8
Tremendous Bowl winner: 16-1

• The Bengals have a double-digit win whole for the third straight season (hadn’t had a win whole of 10+ since 1989).

• The Bengals completed 9-8 final season, lacking the playoffs and going below their whole.

• Cincinnati is in search of its fifth straight successful season, which might tie the franchise file set from 2011-15.

Detroit Lions (10.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 11.9 (NFL rank: 1)
2024 file: 15-2
Tremendous Bowl winner: +850

• The Lions have gone over their win whole in three consecutive seasons, the primary time they’ve finished so since 1993-95.

• Earlier than going 15-2 in 2024, the Lions’ finest file was 12-4, achieved in 1991.

• That is the Lions’ second straight season with a win whole of 10.5, their highest win whole during the last 35 seasons.

Los Angeles Chargers (10.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 8.5 (NFL rank: 18)
2024 file: 11-6
Tremendous Bowl winner: 22-1

• After going 5-12 in 2023, the Chargers went 11-6 final season with Jim Harbaugh on the helm, beating their win whole projection of 8.5.

• The Chargers gained their last three video games of the season to earn a postseason berth.

• The Chargers have gained 10 or extra video games in two of the final three seasons however solely thrice during the last 15 years.

Los Angeles Rams (10.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 9.1 (NFL rank: T-10)
2024 file: 10-7
Tremendous Bowl winner: 20-1

• The Rams have gone over their win whole in six of eight seasons below head coach Sean McVay.

• Regardless of a -19 level differential, the Rams gained 10 video games final season to hit the over on their 8.5-win projection.

• The Rams had 13 straight seasons of eight or fewer wins earlier than McVay took over in 2017.

San Francisco 49ers (10.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 8.7 (NFL rank: 16)
2024 file: 6-11
Tremendous Bowl winner: 13-1

• That is San Francisco’s sixth straight season with a win whole in double digits (10.5, 10.5, 10, 11, 11.5).

• The 49ers gained solely six recreation final season after posting 12+ wins the earlier two seasons.

• San Francisco went 5-12 in opposition to the unfold in 2024 and was 10-7 on over/unders.

Washington Commanders (10.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 8.2 (NFL rank: 21)
2024 file: 12-5
Tremendous Bowl winner: 16-1

• The Commanders had a projected win whole of 6.5 final season, a quantity they cleared in Week 9.

• Washington’s final successful season earlier than final 12 months’s 12-5 marketing campaign got here in 2015.

• The Commanders have been 150-1 to win the Tremendous Bowl final 12 months and got here inside one win of reaching the large recreation.

Denver Broncos (9.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 9.7 (NFL rank: 6)
2024 file: 10-7
Tremendous Bowl winner: 40-1

• Denver had gone below its win whole for 4 straight seasons earlier than a 10-7 marketing campaign final 12 months on a 5.5-win projection.

• Final season’s 10-win marketing campaign was the Broncos’ first season with double-digit victories since 2015 (12-4).

• The Broncos have been 12-5 in opposition to the unfold final season and 8-0 straight up as a favourite.

Inexperienced Bay Packers (9.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 9.1 (NFL rank: T-10)
2024 file: 11-6
Tremendous Bowl winner: 18-1

• Inexperienced Bay has gone over its win whole 5 of the final six seasons. The one below cam in 2022 after they had 9 wins and projected whole of 11.

• The Packers have put collectively six straight successful seasons.

• At 11-6, the Packers have been considered one of three NFC North groups to succeed in the playoffs final season.

Houston Texans (9.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 9.4 (NFL rank: 9)
2024 file: 10-7
Tremendous Bowl winner: 25-1

• The Texans are 14-6-3 on season-long win totals in franchise historical past however have solely gone over twice within the final 5 seasons, together with final season.

• Houston has gone 10-7 every of the final two seasons, successful the AFC South each instances.

• The Texans have six double digit-win seasons in franchise historical past (since 2002). 4 have come within the final seven years.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 9.6 (NFL rank: 7)
2024 file: 10-7
Tremendous Bowl winner: 30-1

• Tampa Bay gained 10 video games final season and has gone over its win whole in 5 of the final six seasons.

• The Buccaneers have put collectively back-to-back successful seasons for the second time within the final 16 seasons (additionally completed in 2020-21 with Tom Brady).

• The Bucs’ whole projection has elevated from 7.5 wins in 2024 to 9.5 this season.

Arizona Cardinals (8.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 8.9 (NFL rank: 12)
2024 file: 8-9
Tremendous Bowl winner: 50-1

• Arizona has had only one successful season since successful 13 video games in 2015 (went 11-6 in 2021).

• The Cardinals went 8-9 final season to beat their 6.5-win projection, snapping a two-year skid of unders.

• The Cardinals doubled their win whole from 2023 final season (in addition they went 4-13 in 2022).

Chicago Bears (8.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 8.4 (NFL rank: T-19)
2024 file: 5-12
Tremendous Bowl winner: 35-1

• That is Chicago’s second straight 12 months with a win whole projection of 8.5, its highest since 2019 (9).

• Chicago went below its win whole final season, ending 5-12, and and hasn’t reached 9+ wins in a season since 2018 (12-4).

• The Bears’ final over got here in 2018, with 5 unders and one push since then.

Dallas Cowboys (8.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 7.3 (NFL rank: 25)
2024 file: 7-10
Tremendous Bowl winner: 50-1

• Dallas had gone over its win whole in three straight three seasons (12-5 every season) earlier than ending 7-10 in 2024.

• This might be the twenty second consecutive season that Dallas has a win whole of a minimum of 8, the longest streak by any staff this century.

• The Cowboys opened final season 16-1 to win the Tremendous Bowl. They’re 50-1 this season.

Miami Dolphins (8.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 9.5 (NFL rank: 8)
2024 file: 8-9
Tremendous Bowl winner: 50-1

• Miami went 8-9 final season, its first time going below its win whole since 2017 (4 overs and two pushes beforehand).

• The Dolphins have cleared 8.5 wins in 4 of the final 5 seasons.

• The Dolphins have been 7-10 in opposition to the unfold final season, their first shedding mark ATS since 2017.

Minnesota Vikings (8.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 8.8 (NFL rank: T-13)
2024 file: 14-3
Tremendous Bowl winner: 35-1

• The Vikings gained 14 video games final season, blowing by their 6.5-win projection.

• The Vikings have completed .500 or higher in seven of the final 10 seasons.

• Minnesota had a +100 level differential final season however may have a brand new QB below heart in 2025.

Pittsburgh Steelers (8.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 7.5 (NFL rank: 23)
2024 file: 10-7
Tremendous Bowl winner: 50-1

• Pittsburgh went 10-7 final season and has completed .500 or higher in 21 straight seasons, matching the longest streak in league historical past (Dallas, 21 straight from 1965-85).

• The Steelers have gone over their win whole in 5 straight seasons and 9 of the final 11.

• Pittsburgh has posted a minimum of 9 victories in 9 of the final 11 seasons, which incorporates seven double digit-win seasons.

Seattle Seahawks (8.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 8.8 (NFL rank: T-13)
2024 file: 10-7
Tremendous Bowl winner: 60-1

• Seattle has gained 8+ video games in 12 of the final 13 seasons and is 5-1-1 on win totals during the last seven seasons.

• The Seahawks added Sam Darnold, who put up a profession 12 months with the Vikings final season whereas successful 14 video games.

• The Seahawks managed 10 wins final season however have been simply 6-10-1 in opposition to the unfold.

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New England Patriots (7.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 8.8 (NFL rank: T-13)
2024 file: 4-13
Tremendous Bowl winner: 75-1

• The Patriots are coming off back-to-back 4-win seasons, going below their projection each instances.

• New England’s projection has elevated by three wins over final season’s quantity (4.5).

• The Patriots have completed above .500 simply as soon as within the final 5 years (10-7 in 2021). The Patriots had 19 straight successful seasons from 2001-19, together with 18 with double-digit wins.

Atlanta Falcons (7.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 6.7 (NFL rank: 27)
2024 file: 8-9
Tremendous Bowl winner: 60-1

• The Falcons have gone below their win whole in six of the final seven seasons, overlaying solely in 2022 with seven wins on a projected 4.5 whole.

• Atlanta’s final successful season got here in 2017 (10-7).

• Michael Penix Jr. will enter his first full season because the starter after taking up for Kirk Cousins final season.

Carolina Panthers (6.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 6.5 (NFL rank: T-29)
2024 file: 5-12
Tremendous Bowl winner: 100-1

• Regardless of a 5-12 file final season, the Panthers hit the over on their whole wins projection (4.5).

• Carolina has gone below its win whole in 5 of the final seven seasons (gained 7 on a 6.5 whole in 2022).

• The Panthers have not completed above .500 since 2017 (11-5).

Indianapolis Colts (6.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 8.4 (NFL rank: T-19)
2024 file: 8-9
Tremendous Bowl winner: 100-1

• The Colts completed 8-9 final season, falling simply wanting their win whole projection of 8.5.

• The Colts haven’t gone over their win whole in consecutive seasons since 2012-14 (three straight).

• The Colts have reached a minimum of seven wins in 4 of the final 5 seasons.

Jacksonville Jaguars (6.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 7.4 (NFL rank: 24)
2024 file: 4-13
Tremendous Bowl winner: 150-1

• Jacksonville has gone below its win whole in six of the final seven seasons, the lone over coming in 2022 when the Jaguars gained 9 on a 6.5 whole.

• The Jaguars had a win projection of 8.5 final season however managed solely 4 wins.

• During the last 17 seasons, the Jaguars have had solely three successful campaigns and one season of 10+ wins.

Las Vegas Raiders (5.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 6.6 (NFL rank: 28)
2024 file: 4-13
Tremendous Bowl winner: 100-1

• The Raiders’ 5.5-win projection is their lowest since 2019 (6, went over).

• The Raiders have solely two successful seasons since 2002 (10-7 in 2021 and 12-4 in 2016).

• The Raiders went 4-13 final season however completed 8-9 in opposition to the unfold.

New Orleans Saints (5.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 7.6 (NFL rank: 22)
2024 file: 5-12
Tremendous Bowl winner: 100-1

• That is the second straight sub-.500 win whole for New Orleans (7 wins, 1 loss, 1 push since 2016).

• The Saints have gone below their win whole in three straight seasons after going 4-0-1 within the earlier 5.

• The Saints have completed over .500 in six of the final eight seasons however simply one of many final three.

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New York Giants (5.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 6.5 (NFL rank: T-29)
2024 file: 3-14
Tremendous Bowl winner: 200-1

• The Giants have gone below their win whole in seven of the final eight seasons, with the lone exception coming in 2022 after they made the divisional spherical. Their seven unders since 2017 are essentially the most of any staff.

• That is the Giants’ eighth straight season with a win whole below .500. Their final projection over .500 got here in 2017 after they went 3-13 on a 9-win whole.

• The Giants have only one successful season over their final eight campaigns (9-7-1 in 2022).

New York Jets (5.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 6.9 (NFL rank: 26)
2024 file: 5-12
Tremendous Bowl winner: 150-1

• The Jets went into final season with a win whole of 9.5 however completed simply 5-12.

• The Jets have missed the playoffs in 14 consecutive seasons, the longest lively playoff drought within the NFL, They’ve only one 10-win season over that span (10-6 in 2015).

• Justin Fields takes over at QB for the Packers, whose win whole is about 4 video games decrease than it was final season.

Tennessee Titans (5.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 5.6 (NFL rank: 31)
2024 file: 3-14
Tremendous Bowl winner: 200-1

• The Titans have gone below their projected win whole for 3 consecutive seasons.

• That is Tennessee’s lowest win whole since 2016 (6; went over with a 9-7 file).

• The Titans have completed below .500 for 3 straight seasons. They’d gained a minimum of 9 video games in every of the earlier six seasons.

Cleveland Browns (4.5 wins)
Clay’s projection: 5 (NFL rank: 32)
2024 file: 3-14
Tremendous Bowl winner: 100-1

• After placing collectively an 11-win season in 2023, the Browns gained solely three video games final season (with a projected win whole of 8.5).

• Solely the Panthers (-193) had a worse level differential than the Browns (-177) final season, however they gained two extra video games.

• The Browns have completed with a successful file twice since 2007 (11 wins in 2020 and 2023) and have one winless season throughout that stretch (2017).