There are seven weeks till NFL coaching camp, greater than three months till the 2024 common season and practically a yr till the 2025 NFL draft. We all know what you are pondering: Is it too early to consider the 2025 draft? The reply isn’t any.
Let’s take a primary take a look at the projected first-round draft order for 32 groups with ESPN’s Soccer Energy Index (FPI). The FPI tasks the draft order by simulating the season 10,000 occasions. Recreation chances are primarily based largely on the mannequin’s scores for particular person groups along with sport areas. The order relies on the data the mannequin believes the groups could have after 17 video games and every workforce’s common draft place within the simulations.
After you try the the complete 1-32 projection for the 2025 NFL draft beneath, take a look at extra FPI takeaways for the upcoming season.
Common draft place: 5.1
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 21.9%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 66.3%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 87.4%
Common draft place: 5.7
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 20.8%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 62.9%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 84.7%
Common draft place: 7.0
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 12.4%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 50.9%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 77.1%
Common draft place: 9.1
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 7.1%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 36.7%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 65.1%
Common draft place: 9.8
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 5.7%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 32.3%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 60.8%
Common draft place: 9.8
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 5.8%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 32.4%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 60.9%
Common draft place: 10.7
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 4.7%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 28%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 54.8%
Common draft place: 11.2
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 3.56%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 25.3%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 52.1%
Common draft place: 11.6
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 3.5%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 23.4%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 50.5%
Common draft place: 13.1
FPI probability to earn No. 1 choose: 2.6%
FPI probability to earn top-five choose: 19.4%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 43.6%
Common draft place: 14.1
FPI probability to earn top-5 choose: 13.9%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 36.1%
Common draft place: 14.4
FPI probability to earn top-5 choose: 14%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 36.6%
Common draft place: 14.9
FPI probability to earn top-5 choose: 11.3%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 30.9%
Common draft place: 15.0
FPI probability to earn top-5 choose: 13.3%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 33.2%
Common draft place: 15.8
FPI probability to earn top-5 choose: 11%
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 29.5%
Common draft place: 15.9
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 26%
Common draft place: 16.2
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 27.4%
Common draft place: 16.8
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 24.9%
Common draft place: 17.9
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 19.2%
Common draft place: 18.5
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 36.6%
Common draft place: 20.2
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 18.2%
Common draft place: 20.2
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 14.8%
Common draft place: 21.3
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 10%
Common draft place: 21.4
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 9.6%
Common draft place: 22.5
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 6.6%
Common draft place: 22.5
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 6.9%
Common draft place: 23.6
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 4.9%
Common draft place: 23.6
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 4.9%
Common draft place: 24.3
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 3.1%
Common draft place: 24.4
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 3.5%
Common draft place: 25.7
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 2.3%
Common draft place: 25.8
FPI probability to earn top-10 choose: 2.1%
