NFL Week 9 picks, schedule, odds, accidents, fantasy ideas

Falcons storyline to observe: The offensively versatile Falcons would possibly change into a run-first workforce once more this weekend. The Cowboys have allowed the second-most touchdowns on the bottom (12) and the fourth-highest yards per carry (tied, 4.8) within the league. To go deeper, Bijan Robinson has a league-best 57.6% success fee on under-center runs amongst operating backs with a minimum of 30 carries, whereas the Cowboys have given up the second-highest success fee (49.3%) on such runs, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. — Marc Raimondi

Stat to know: A defeat for the Cowboys would match their loss whole from every of the earlier three seasons (12-5 from 2021 to 2023).

Daring prediction: Falcons tight finish Kyle Pitts will report beneath 25 receiving yards. I am not anticipating a breakout from him, not with a 33 open rating anyway. That is the worst amongst all qualifying tight ends and vast receivers. — Walder

Accidents: Cowboys | Falcons

Fantasy X issue: Robinson. He has had 18 or extra touches and 20 or extra fantasy factors in three consecutive video games. Now, Robinson faces a Cowboys protection that ranks thirtieth in run cease win fee (26.7%) and offers up the fourth-most fantasy factors per sport. See Week 9 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Cowboys are 0-5 ATS of their previous 5 video games following a loss (0-3 ATS after a loss this season). Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Falcons 28, Cowboys 20
Moody’s choose: Falcons 31, Cowboys, 27
Walder’s choose: Cowboys 27, Falcons 23
FPI prediction: ATL, 56.7% (by a median of two.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: One other missed probability by Cowboys, Prescott versus 49ers … Falcons’ Pitts having profession revival with assist of Kirk Cousins

1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: BUF -6 (48.5 O/U)

Dolphins storyline to observe: Dolphins rookie operating again Jaylen Wright leads the workforce in yards per carry (5.3). He averages solely six touches per sport to De’Von Achane’s and Raheem Mostert’s 11.6 and 11.3, respectively. Achane has been Miami’s finest offensive participant this season, and coach Mike McDaniel mentioned Mostert has been a “gigantic tone-setter” for the workforce. Nonetheless, when requested about getting the rookie extra concerned, McDaniel mentioned Miami will make the “needed changes to guarantee that he can contribute his ability set.” — Marcel Louis-Jacques

Payments storyline to observe: Rookie receiver Keon Coleman has 9 receptions for 195 yards prior to now two video games. He had 201 receiving yards within the first six video games. “The belief that I’ve in him simply grows daily, and we get further reps after apply, and also you see that beginning to pay dividends,” quarterback Josh Allen mentioned. The Payments’ offense has had success at dwelling this season, averaging 38.3 factors in three video games. — Alaina Getzenberg

Stat to know: The Dolphins have scored 28 whole factors in three street video games this season. They’ve scored beneath 40 whole factors of their first 4 street video games solely as soon as in franchise historical past (30 in 1967).

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Why Subject Yates is nervous to start out Tua vs. Payments

Subject Yates and Stephania Bell focus on if Tua Tagovailoa may have a giant day in opposition to the Payments.

Daring prediction: Payments tight finish Dalton Kincaid will report six or extra receptions. In opposition to the Dolphins, 23% of targets have gone to tight ends this season, which is tied for the very best fee within the NFL. — Walder

Accidents: Dolphins | Payments

Fantasy X issue: Payments vast receiver Khalil Shakir. Buffalo’s passing sport is trending up, with Allen throwing for 280 or extra yards in consecutive video games. Shakir has had seven or extra targets and 13 or extra fantasy factors in these video games. The Dolphins rank within the high eight within the league of their use of zone protection, and Allen ranks close to the highest of the league in QBR in opposition to zone protection. See Week 9 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is 4-0-1 ATS in his profession as a minimum of a six-point underdog. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Payments 30, Dolphins 21
Moody’s choose: Payments 34, Dolphins 24
Walder’s choose: Payments 30, Dolphins 23
FPI prediction: BUF, 72.0% (by a median of 9.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: How Tua stayed linked with Dolphins whereas on IR … Allen takes Payments QB room to World Sequence Recreation 4 … Tua praised for safeguarding self in Miami loss

1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: CIN -7 (46.5 O/U)

Raiders storyline to observe: The Raiders have already used 4 totally different beginning offensive line combos in eight video games and might need to deploy a fifth in opposition to the Bengals. Middle Andre James is coping with a proper ankle harm that knocked him out of final week’s loss to the Chiefs. Rookie left guard Jackson Powers-Johnson, who gained the 2023 Rimington Trophy as one of the best faculty middle, slid over to shut out the sport, with out a lot of a drop-off. “I’ve acquired nice guys round me,” Powers-Johnson mentioned. “The entire line is pushing for me and wanting me to be nice. … Undoubtedly a studying curve, so I’ve acquired to get on the bike once more and begin driving the tricycle once more.” — Paul Gutierrez

Bengals storyline to observe: One matchup might dictate how issues go for the Bengals’ offense: left deal with Orlando Brown Jr., who’s battling a decrease proper leg harm forward of Sunday’s sport, vs. Maxx Crosby, who’s ninth within the league in move rush win fee as an edge rusher (22.3%). Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow is aware of the plan for achievement is easy: “The most important factor is eradicate [Crosby’s] capability to have an effect on the sport.” — Ben Child

Stat to know: Burrow has handed for fewer than 250 yards in three consecutive video games, tied for the longest streak of his profession. He has a complete of 347 passing yards in two contests in opposition to the Raiders, together with the playoffs.

Daring prediction: Raiders vast receiver Jakobi Meyers will report 80-plus receiving yards. Meyers will face Bengals nook Cam Taylor-Britt, who has allowed 1.9 yards per protection snap — fourth most amongst all outdoors corners with a minimum of 100 protection snaps. — Walder

Accidents: Raiders | Bengals

Fantasy X issue: Bengals operating again Chase Brown. Cincinnati’s backfield began as a committee with Zack Moss and Brown, however Brown’s workload has ramped up recently. He has logged 14 or extra touches in 4 of the previous 5 video games and scored 14-plus fantasy factors in three of these. This week, he has a good matchup in opposition to a Raiders protection that’s giving up the seventh-most speeding yards per try to operating backs. See Week 9 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Raiders’ Antonio Pierce is 12-5 ATS in his profession, which is one of the best mark of anybody who has coached a minimum of 10 video games. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Bengals 24, Raiders 17
Moody’s choose: Bengals 28, Raiders 24
Walder’s choose: Bengals 34, Raiders 19
FPI prediction: CIN, 65.0% (by a median of 5.6 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Pierce: Raiders should ‘clear up’ playcalling, offensive points … 3 methods the Bengals’ protection regressed since Tremendous Bowl LVI … Raiders’ run sport reaches tragic low vs. Chiefs

1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: LAC -1.5 (42.5 O/U)

Chargers storyline to observe: After throwing for fewer than 200 yards in every of the primary 4 video games this season, quarterback Justin Herbert heads to Cleveland on a three-game stretch of averaging 288 yards per sport. Cleveland has allowed 200-plus passing yards 4 occasions. — Kris Rhim

Browns storyline to observe: QB Jameis Winston remodeled the Browns’ offense in his first begin — 334 passing yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions — however is his efficiency sustainable? Sunday’s matchup in opposition to the Chargers, one of the best protection Cleveland has confronted to this point, might be telling. Los Angeles leads the NFL in scoring protection, permitting 13 factors per sport. — Daniel Oyefusi

Stat to know: That is the primary assembly between these groups since Week 5 of 2022. The Chargers have gained 5 of the previous six conferences, courting to 2015.

Daring prediction: Winston will throw two or extra interceptions. He had two dropped interceptions in opposition to the Ravens final week. He isn’t going to get that fortunate once more. No quarterback has greater than 4 dropped interceptions this season — and Winston has began just one sport. — Walder

Accidents: Chargers | Browns

Fantasy X issue: Browns vast receiver Cedric Tillman. He has two straight video games of 9 or extra targets and a minimum of 18.0 fantasy factors. Tillman has stepped up huge with Amari Cooper gone, and now he is catching passes from Winston, which supplies him an added edge. See Week 9 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Chargers are 4-1 ATS as favorites this season, together with 3-0 in opposition to groups with dropping data. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Chargers 24, Browns 22
Moody’s choose: Chargers 17, Browns 16
Walder’s choose: Chargers 23, Browns 16
FPI prediction: CLE, 54.3% (by a median of 1.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Chargers rookie efficiency in Week 8 gives vindication … QB Winston respiratory new life into Browns’ offense … Winston to stay Browns’ QB1 after Ravens upset

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Why Cedric Tillman is a must-add for fantasy managers

Eric Karabell explains why fantasy managers must seize Browns WR Cedric Tillman if they will.

1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: TEN -3.5 (37.5 O/U)

Patriots storyline to observe: Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has been in concussion protocol since Sunday, however as a restricted participant in apply all through the week, so coach Jerod Mayo is leaving open the chance that he performs. “I do believe that if the league says he is able to play, he’ll be capable of go on the market and function,” Mayo mentioned. If Maye is not cleared to play, veteran Jacoby Brissett will get the beginning and rookie Joe Milton III would be the backup. — Mike Reiss

Titans storyline to observe: The Titans are but to win a sport at dwelling this season. The Patriots have not gained on the street for the reason that season opener in opposition to the Bengals. At 1-6, the Titans ought to take no sport as a right. However this week needs to be a really perfect alternative for coach Brian Callahan to get his first win at Nissan Stadium. “I am excited to get again in entrance of our followers and provides them one thing to be enthusiastic about once more.” — Turron Davenport

Stat to know: The Titans misplaced back-to-back video games by a minimum of 20 factors for the primary time since Weeks 13-14 in 2014. They have not misplaced three straight by 20 factors since October 2009.

Daring prediction: Patriots cornerback Christian Gonzalez will report an interception. Gonzalez has the very best goal fee amongst outdoors corners with a better-than-average yards per protection snap and 100 protection snaps, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. In different phrases, the ball is coming his method however he is not permitting plenty of manufacturing. — Walder

Accidents: Patriots | Titans

Fantasy X issue: Titans operating again Tony Pollard. He has been a constant vibrant spot in a struggling offense. The Patriots’ protection has been susceptible to operating backs, permitting the fifth-most fantasy factors per sport to the place. Pollard’s workload stays robust, with 18-plus touches in three straight video games. See Week 9 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Patriots are 1-5 ATS of their previous six video games as underdogs. The Titans are 1-4 ATS as favorites for the reason that begin of final season. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Patriots 24, Titans 17
Moody’s choose: Patriots 20, Titans 18
Walder’s choose: Titans 19, Patriots 16
FPI prediction: TEN, 60.3% (by a median of 4.2 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Pats QB Maye in concussion protocol … Being a first-time NFL head coach could be powerful; simply ask these 4

1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: WSH -4 (44.5 O/U)

Commanders storyline to observe: Washington ranks second within the NFL in yards per run (5.2) and third in rush yards per sport (165.8). Among the latter whole stems from quarterback Jayden Daniels, who averages 53 speeding yards per sport. However the Commanders’ operating backs nonetheless common a mixed 5.2 per carry. In the meantime, the Giants’ run protection ranks final in yards allowed per carry (5.4) and twenty seventh in rush yards per sport (141.8). Washington can hit huge move performs with Daniels, however dealing with robust edge move rushers, the Commanders will look to manage the sport on the bottom. — John Keim

Giants storyline to observe: Giants rookie vast receiver Malik Nabers is trying to bounce again from a sport during which he had two key drops in Pittsburgh. He is particularly motivated in opposition to a Washington workforce that could not cease him within the first assembly. Nabers had 10 catches for 127 yards and a landing in that matchup. He is itching for an additional huge sport after two pedestrian performances coming off a concussion. — Jordan Raanan

Stat to know: The Giants are 0-4 at dwelling this season, averaging 7.8 factors per sport (fewest within the NFL). They have not began 0-5 at dwelling since 1974.

Daring prediction: The Commanders will break off a 20-plus-yard display play sooner or later within the sport. Washington runs screens 6% of the time, the fourth-highest fee within the league, and the Giants’ protection ranks thirtieth in EPA allowed per display. — Walder

Accidents: Commanders | Giants

Fantasy X issue: Commanders vast receiver Terry McLaurin. He has had 16 or extra fantasy factors in 5 of his previous six video games. He has traditionally carried out nicely in opposition to the Giants, averaging 9.1 targets and 16.5 fantasy factors throughout 10 profession video games. See Week 9 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Unders are 4-0 in Giants dwelling video games this season. Overs are 4-0 in Commanders street video games this season. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Commanders 30, Giants 23
Moody’s choose: Commanders 27, Giants 21
Walder’s choose: Commanders 30, Giants 14
FPI prediction: WSH, 65.5% (by a median of 5.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Inside Commanders’ wild Hail Mary to stun Bears … QB Jones ‘pissed off’ amid his, Giants’ struggles

1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: NO -7 (43.5 O/U)

Saints storyline to observe: Derek Carr is predicted to start out after lacking the previous three video games due to an indirect harm, and Jake Haener will return to backing him up after the Saints went with rookie Spencer Rattler in Carr’s absence. The struggling Saints, who’ve misplaced six straight, have dropped to twenty first in offensive yards per sport (319.5) and final in defensive yard allowed (392.8) after a 2-0 begin that started with a thrashing of the Panthers in Week 1. They’re going to have many of the offense again from that sport excluding middle Erik McCoy (groin) and receiver Rashid Shaheed (knee). — Katherine Terrell

Panthers storyline to observe: Bryce Younger will begin once more at quarterback, however he did not fare nicely within the Panthers’ first sport in opposition to the Saints. He was sacked 4 occasions and handed for under 161 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions. However Carolina’s greatest downside is protection, notably with Carr returning. Carr had three passing TDs in Week 1, and the Saints rushed for 180 yards in opposition to a wholesome Carolina protection. The Panthers have misplaced a number of key defenders since and are giving up an NFL-worst 154.6 speeding yards per sport. — David Newton

Stat to know: Younger is 2-17 as a starter and can make his twentieth begin Sunday. With a loss, Younger would be a part of Steve DeBerg and Chris Weinke as the one quarterbacks since 1950 to lose 18 of their first 20 profession begins.

Daring prediction: Saints operating again Alvin Kamara will rush for 100 or extra yards. Carolina cannot cease the run — it ranks thirty second in run cease win fee (25.9%) and twenty eighth in EPA allowed per designed carry (minus-2.91). After all, the Panthers cannot cease the move both, however the Saints can get Kamara extra concerned after taking an early lead. — Walder

Accidents: Saints | Panthers

Fantasy X issue: Saints vast receiver Chris Olave. He scored 18.7 fantasy factors in opposition to the Chargers in Week 8 — a giant reduction for fantasy managers. Olave had simply 2.5 factors mixed in Weeks 5 and 6 after which missed Week 7 in opposition to the Broncos. He is positioned to keep up the optimistic momentum. See Week 9 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Panthers are 1-7 in opposition to the unfold this season, which is the worst ATS report within the NFL. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Saints 21, Panthers 14
Moody’s choose: Saints 30, Panthers 17
Walder’s choose: Saints 27, Panthers 12
FPI prediction: NO, 71.5% (by a median of 8.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Can Saints snap six-game freefall in opposition to Panthers? … A uncommon feel-good story for Panthers in rookie UDFA WR Coker … Did Younger do sufficient to get one other begin for Panthers?

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Chuba Hubbard’s fantasy outlook for Week 9

Discover Chuba Hubbard’s fantasy stats as he prepares to tackle the Saints in Week 9.

1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: BAL -9.5 (46.5 O/U)

Broncos storyline to observe: The Broncos have their finest report since they have been 6-2 after eight video games within the 2016 season, however they’ve discovered prosperity in opposition to a number of of essentially the most wobbly groups within the league. Three wins have come over groups with six losses (Jets, Saints and Raiders) to go together with a win over a now 1-7 Carolina. The Ravens might provide quarterback Bo Nix, who’s twenty seventh within the league in yards per completion (4.72) and twenty sixth in completion proportion, the chance for some huge performs. Baltimore has surrendered 46 explosive performs (runs of a minimum of 10 yards and completions of a minimum of 20 yards). — Jeff Legwold

Ravens storyline to observe: The Ravens are 24-3 (.889), together with the playoffs, at dwelling in opposition to rookie beginning quarterbacks in franchise historical past, which is one of the best dwelling win proportion by any workforce since 1950. Nonetheless, Denver’s Nix hasn’t performed like a first-year NFL quarterback, going 5-1 in his previous six begins with eight touchdowns and one interception over that span. His 5 victories are essentially the most by a rookie quarterback in Broncos historical past, surpassing John Elway and Drew Lock, each of whom had 4. — Jamison Hensley

Stat to know: Ravens operating again Derrick Henry has 9 straight video games with a landing, courting to final season. That is the third-longest streak by a participant at age 30 or older in NFL historical past.

Daring prediction: Nix will report his first 300-yard passing sport … in a loss. Denver will attempt to throw on the Ravens, whose protection is way weaker in opposition to the move. The yardage might be there, however I concern it is going to largely be in catch-up mode. — Walder

Accidents: Broncos | Ravens

Fantasy X issue: Broncos vast receiver Courtland Sutton. His fantasy manufacturing has swung like a pendulum this season. In Week 8, he noticed 11 targets and hit a season-high 17.1 fantasy factors in opposition to the Panthers. Now, he is up in opposition to a Ravens protection that has allowed the third-most fantasy factors per sport to vast receivers. See Week 9 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Overs are 7-1 in Ravens video games this season, which is the very best over proportion within the NFL. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Ravens 33, Broncos 24
Moody’s choose: Ravens 35, Broncos 24
Walder’s choose: Ravens 30, Broncos 20
FPI prediction: BAL, 76.6% (by a median of 10.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Nix, Payton discovering groove collectively for surging Broncos … Ravens’ defensive ‘funk’ is greatest hurdle in championship hunt … Are the Broncos playoff contenders? 4 issues to show

4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: PHI -7.5 (45.5 O/U)

Jaguars storyline to observe: As unhealthy because the Jaguars have been defensively — they’re on tempo to permit the second-most yards (382.1) and factors (28) per sport in franchise historical past — they have been efficient offensively. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has lower down his turnovers (he has 5 after averaging 20 per season over his first three seasons), they usually’re averaging 5.8 yards per play, which might be one of the best mark in franchise historical past. The most important subject is their gradual begins (simply 20 factors scored within the first quarter), which could not harm them this week as a result of the Eagles are the one workforce within the NFL that hasn’t scored within the first quarter. — Mike DiRocco

Eagles storyline to observe: Quarterback Jalen Hurts has change into rather more environment friendly in current weeks. After turning the ball over seven occasions over the Eagles’ first 4 video games — second most within the league on the time — he has zero giveaways prior to now three video games. Philadelphia is 3-0 over that stretch with a points-per-game differential of plus-16.3, in contrast with minus-2.5 throughout its 2-2 begin. — Tim McManus

Stat to know: Hurts has had 5 speeding touchdowns prior to now two video games, essentially the most by any quarterback in a two-game span since 1951. Since 1950, essentially the most speeding touchdowns by a passer over a three-game span is six (Cam Newton in 2011 and Johnny Lujack in 1950).

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Why Jeff Saturday believes in Eagles as legit Tremendous Bowl contenders

Jeff Saturday explains why Jalen Hurts and the Eagles needs to be thought-about Tremendous Bowl contenders.

Daring prediction: Eagles edge rusher Josh Sweat will report a move rush win fee of 25% or larger. Sweat will face Walker Little, who changed left deal with Cam Robinson (since traded) final week. Traditionally, Little has not been nice. He has a profession 82% move block win fee at deal with, which is nicely under common. — Walder

Accidents: Jaguars | Eagles

Fantasy X issue: Jaguars tight finish Evan Engram. Broad receiver Christian Kirk is out for the season due to a damaged collarbone, and vast receiver Brian Thomas Jr. (chest) is day-to-day. Which means Lawrence will probably lean on Engram. Final season, Engram averaged 10.2 targets, 8.3 receptions and 73.2 receiving yards per sport when Kirk was sidelined for six video games. See Week 9 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The final time the Jaguars closed as a minimum of seven-point underdogs was the 2022 divisional playoffs in opposition to the Chiefs (plus-9.5). Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Eagles 34, Jaguars 18
Moody’s choose: Eagles 33, Jaguars 20
Walder’s choose: Eagles 27, Jaguars 20
FPI prediction: PHI, 68.1% (by a median of seven.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: With Kirk out, which Jaguars WR will step up? … Former Eagles coach Pederson helped usher Sirianni in as Philly coach … QB Hurts jokes about his mismatched cleats throughout Eagles-Bengals

4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: ARI -1.5 (44.5 O/U)

Bears storyline to observe: Coach Matt Eberflus was mum when requested whether or not cornerback Tyrique Stevenson would begin in opposition to Arizona or be benched after his antics on the ultimate play in Washington contributed to an 18-15 loss for the Bears. Eberflus mentioned the second-year nook “has made a variety of performs for this group and for our protection and for our soccer workforce during the last couple of years, and he will proceed to do this.” Given the Bears are already coping with accidents to Jaquan Brisker (concussion) and Kyler Gordon (hamstring), changing one other starter within the lineup may not be within the playing cards Sunday. — Courtney Cronin

Cardinals storyline to observe: The Cardinals have lastly discovered some consistency. They’ve gained two in a row for the primary time since 2021 and have taken three out of 4. If they might proceed their run with a win Sunday, they will be in a major place going into subsequent week’s sport in opposition to the Jets, which is their final earlier than their bye week. — Josh Weinfuss

Stat to know: The Bears have the toughest remaining schedule within the NFL, in line with ESPN Analytics. After their subsequent two video games in opposition to Arizona and New England, they are going to play eight straight contests in opposition to groups with a present report of .500 or higher.

Daring prediction: Bears tight finish Cole Kmet will has 75-plus receiving yards. He’ll bounce again from his one-reception efficiency final week as Arizona permits targets to tight ends on 21% of dropbacks, the fourth-highest fee within the league. Plus, Arizona struggles in opposition to the move normally. — Walder

Accidents: Bears | Cardinals

Fantasy X issue: Cardinals operating again James Conner. He is in an amazing spot this week. Arizona’s offensive line has been spectacular, rating ninth in run block win fee, whereas the Bears are twenty second in run cease win fee (72.8%). Conner has averaged 14.2 fantasy factors per sport. See Week 9 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray is 10-16 ATS in his profession as a favourite (6-12 ATS as dwelling favourite). Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Cardinals 21, Bears 18
Moody’s choose: Cardinals 20, Bears 17
Walder’s choose: Cardinals 24, Bears 23
FPI prediction: CHI, 49.9% (by a median of 0.0 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Bears stand by criticism however purpose to maintain it ‘in-house’ … How Cardinals’ McBride is ascending right into a top-tier TE … Why Cardinals’ come-from-behind win vs. Dolphins may be wanted spark

4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: DET -3.5 (48.5 O/U)

Lions storyline to observe: At 6-1 and with veteran quarterback Jared Goff competing at an MVP stage, the Lions are off to their finest begin since 1956. Detroit has gained its previous two video games at Lambeau Subject, and Goff has a uncommon alternative to match former Packers star Aaron Rodgers’ NFL-record of six straight video games with a number of passing touchdowns and a 70% completion fee. — Eric Woodyard

Packers storyline to observe: How a lot the Packers run the ball relies on whether or not it is Jordan Love (groin) or Malik Willis at quarterback. Within the two video games Willis began earlier this season whereas Love was out due to a knee harm, the Packers referred to as designed runs on 68% of the snaps in contrast with 41% in Love’s six begins, in line with ESPN Analysis. Both method, count on operating again Josh Jacobs to be arduous to deal with. He has the second-most speeding yards after contact within the NFL this season, behind solely the Ravens’ Derrick Henry. — Rob Demovsky

Stat to know: Goff has accomplished 83% of his passes over the previous 5 video games, which is the very best proportion throughout a five-game span in NFL historical past (minimal of fifty makes an attempt).

Daring prediction: Jacobs is not going to catch a single move. The Lions have allowed operating again receptions on simply 8% of opponent dropbacks, the bottom fee within the league. — Walder

Accidents: Lions | Packers

Fantasy X issue: Goff. He is averaging 27.0 move makes an attempt and 17.2 fantasy factors per sport this season. Goff has been particularly efficient on the street, with 19.8 fantasy factors per sport. And with the Packers doubtlessly lacking nook Jaire Alexander (knee) and security Evan Williams (hamstring), Goff is about up for achievement. See Week 9 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Packers are 22-8 ATS as underdogs beneath coach Matt LaFleur. They’re additionally 6-1 outright and ATS as dwelling underdogs with him. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Lions 37, Packers 26
Moody’s choose: Packers 31, Lions 26
Walder’s choose: Lions 34, Packers 26
FPI prediction: DET, 59.7% (by a median of 4.2 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Lions’ offense is on an all-time run … For Packers to beat Lions, their offense should step up … Report: Prosecutors reviewing warrant request for Lions’ Williams

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Jameson Williams suspended 2 video games by NFL

Adam Schefter offers particulars on the NFL’s suspension of Lions WR Jameson Williams for violating the performance-enhancing substances coverage.

4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: LAR -1.5 (48.5 O/U)

Rams storyline to observe: Operating again Kyren Williams ranks second within the NFL with 10 scrimmage touchdowns this season. With two extra touchdowns Sunday, Williams can change into the fourth participant in Rams historical past with 12 or extra touchdowns by eight video games of a season, in line with ESPN Analysis. Williams has scored a minimum of two touchdowns in a sport twice this season. — Sarah Barshop

Seahawks storyline to observe: The Seahawks are “optimistic” — in coach Mike Macdonald’s phrases — that DK Metcalf might be again after lacking final week’s sport due to an MCL sprain. The star receiver’s absence versus Buffalo was evident in Seattle’s lack of ability to generate an offensive play of longer than 20 yards for the primary time since 2017. Rams cornerback and one-time Seahawk Ahkello Witherspoon acquired beneath Metcalf’s pores and skin final season, which might add intrigue to that matchup. — Brady Henderson

Stat to know: Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith had zero passing touchdowns in Week 8. He has not had back-to-back begins with out a passing landing since 2014 with the Jets.

Daring prediction: The Rams will maintain their opponent to beneath 4.0 yards per carry for the second time this season. There is a weak-on-weak matchup on the bottom right here with the Seahawks rating twenty ninth in EPA per designed carry and the Rams rating twenty ninth in EPA allowed per designed carry. One thing has to present, and my guess is it breaks the Rams’ method. — Walder

Accidents: Rams | Seahawks

Fantasy X issue: Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford. He simply put up a season-high 24.7 fantasy factors in opposition to the Vikings in Week 8, with receivers Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp as his high targets. This week’s matchup with Seattle stands out with one of many highest level totals on the slate. See Week 9 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Seahawks are 2-6 ATS this season, whereas the Rams are 2-5 ATS. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Seahawks 28, Rams 24
Moody’s choose: Rams 26, Seahawks 23
Walder’s choose: Rams 20, Seahawks 17
FPI prediction: LAR, 50.3% (by a median of 0.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Rams’ Kupp scores in return; McVay expects WR to remain … Who will win the NFC West? It is a four-team race

8:20 p.m. ET | NBC/Peacock | ESPN BET: MIN -5 (46.5 O/U)

Colts storyline to observe: With QB Joe Flacco set to take over, search for an attention-grabbing subplot in how he offers with the Vikings’ heavy blitz package deal. Minnesota blitzes on the highest fee within the NFL this season (42%), however Flacco leads all QBs since 2023 in touchdowns per move try (13.3%) and yards per completion (14.8) when blitzed. Flacco additionally has the fourth-lowest sack fee (5.1%) in opposition to the blitz. — Stephen Holder

Vikings storyline to observe: The Vikings are anticipated to get tight finish T.J. Hockenson again onto the sphere now that he has recovered from a torn ACL and MCL in his proper knee. That may probably immediate a redistribution of targets among the many workforce’s move catchers, a shift that ought to profit the offense even when it in the end takes just a few targets away from vast receiver Justin Jefferson. Up to now, Jefferson has 34.9% of quarterback Sam Darnold’s targets, the second-highest proportion by any participant by seven video games prior to now 10 seasons. — Kevin Seifert

Stat to know: ESPN Analytics offers Indianapolis a 64% probability to make the playoffs with Flacco, in contrast with a 46% probability with Richardson.

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Schefter: Colts benching Richardson ‘a seismic transfer on a variety of ranges’

Adam Schefter joins Pat McAfee and stories on the Colts’ determination to bench Anthony Richardson for Joe Flacco.

Daring prediction: Colts vast receiver Adonai Mitchell will report 50-plus receiving yards for the primary time. With Flacco beneath middle, the offense will probably be extra dependable. Mitchell hasn’t produced huge numbers but, however there are good indicators. He ranks fourth in open rating with an 81. — Walder

Accidents: Colts | Vikings

Fantasy X issue: Colts vast receiver Josh Downs. With Flacco stepping in, the Colts’ passing sport is trending up. His accuracy will profit the Colts’ receivers. Downs and Flacco have already proven robust chemistry, and the receiver has cleared 16 fantasy factors in 4 of his previous 5 video games. See Week 9 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Vikings are 0-2 outright and ATS of their previous two video games (each as favorites). They began the 12 months 5-0 outright and ATS. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Colts 28, Vikings 26
Moody’s choose: Vikings 31, Colts 24
Walder’s choose: Vikings 29, Colts 14
FPI prediction: MIN, 53.9% (by a median of 1.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Going to Flacco over Richardson helps Colts win now, coach says … Vikings hope Hockenson’s return will open up offense … Win-now Colts bench QB Richardson for Flacco

8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN/ABC | ESPN BET: KC -8.5 (45.5 O/U)

Buccaneers storyline to observe: With out vast receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, quarterback Baker Mayfield leaned closely on tight finish Cade Otton final week. The Bucs should do it once more, with seemingly the one actual gap within the Chiefs’ protection being that they are giving up a median of 80.86 yards to opposing tight ends — essentially the most of any workforce within the league. Does “Nationwide Tight Ends Day” carry over for an additional week? — Jenna Laine

Chiefs storyline to observe: The Chiefs have held 5 of their seven opponents beneath their season common in scoring, together with two within the NFL’s high 10 in factors. However Mayfield and the Bucs, fourth in scoring at greater than 29 factors per sport, current Kansas Metropolis’s greatest problem. The Chiefs had their most efficient pass-rushing sport of the season final week in opposition to the Raiders with 5 sacks, they usually added edge rusher Joshua Uche in a commerce with the Patriots this week. — Adam Teicher

Stat to know: The Buccaneers are permitting 26.6 factors (twenty eighth within the NFL) and 387 whole yards (thirtieth) per sport.

Daring prediction: The Chiefs will permit no multiple landing to the Bucs. I’ve a tough time seeing Tampa Bay’s offense succeed with out Evans and Godwin. Its depth receivers should beat press protection, however the Chiefs try this greater than some other workforce within the league at outdoors nook. — Walder

Accidents: Buccaneers | Chiefs

Fantasy X issue: Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. He completed with a season-high 18.1 fantasy factors in opposition to the Raiders in Week 8. No protection this season permits extra fantasy factors per sport than the Buccaneers. I imagine Mahomes can preserve his momentum going in opposition to Tampa Bay. See Week 9 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Mahomes is 22-28 ATS in his profession when laying a minimum of seven factors (0-2 ATS this season). Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Buccaneers 27, Chiefs 24
Moody’s choose: Chiefs 28, Buccaneers 20
Walder’s choose: Chiefs 27, Buccaneers 13
FPI prediction: KC, 63.0% (by a median of 5.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Godwin says playoff return ‘best-case situation’ … Why the Chiefs are the brand new Patriots